IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.0	#179
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.3	#248
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.1	#176

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.9	#196

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.6%	6.4%	2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.4%	0.6%	0.1%
Average Seed	13.1	13.0	14.0

.500 or above	44.9%	51.1%	25.5%
.500 or above in Conference	46.3%	50.7%	32.7%
Conference Champion	6.1%	7.1%	2.8%
Last Place in Conference	11.7%	9.5%	18.5%

First Four	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%
First Round	5.4%	6.2%	2.7%
Second Round	0.8%	1.0%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Home) - 75.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 4
Quad 3	5 - 7	6 - 11
Quad 4	6 - 2	12 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	248	North Dakota	W	76-69	76%
Dec 05, 2020	121	@ Wright St.	L	72-79	26%
Dec 15, 2020	292	Bellarmine	W	66-57	80%
Dec 19, 2020	117	@ Bradley	L	66-73	26%
Dec 29, 2020	134	Ohio	W	71-70	51%
Jan 02, 2021	207	@ Central Michigan	L	78-79	47%
Jan 05, 2021	146	Bowling Green	W	75-74	53%
Jan 09, 2021	189	Northern Illinois	W	69-65	63%
Jan 12, 2021	134	@ Ohio	L	68-74	31%
Jan 16, 2021	238	@ Western Michigan	W	70-69	52%
Jan 19, 2021	130	Ball St.	W	69-68	51%
Jan 23, 2021	160	@ Eastern Michigan	L	65-69	37%
Jan 26, 2021	137	Toledo	W	73-72	51%
Jan 30, 2021	238	Western Michigan	W	73-66	72%
Feb 02, 2021	172	@ Kent St.	L	71-74	39%
Feb 06, 2021	116	@ Buffalo	L	75-82	27%
Feb 09, 2021	160	Eastern Michigan	W	68-66	57%
Feb 13, 2021	126	Akron	L	72-73	49%
Feb 16, 2021	137	@ Toledo	L	69-75	32%
Feb 20, 2021	189	@ Northern Illinois	L	66-68	43%
Feb 23, 2021	116	Buffalo	L	78-79	45%
Feb 27, 2021	172	Kent St.	W	74-71	58%
Mar 02, 2021	146	@ Bowling Green	L	72-77	35%
Mar 05, 2021	126	@ Akron	L	69-75	30%
Projected Record						11 - 13	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.6	1.6	1.5	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0		6.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	1.6	2.2	1.8	0.7	0.2	0.0				7.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	2.0	2.8	1.7	0.4	0.0						7.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.4	3.0	1.5	0.3	0.0							7.7	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.4	3.7	1.6	0.3	0.0								8.4	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.2	4.3	2.2	0.3	0.0									9.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	1.9	4.4	2.5	0.4	0.0										9.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.2	1.6	4.2	3.0	0.5	0.0											9.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	1.8	3.5	3.0	0.5	0.0												9.2	9th
10th				0.1	0.4	1.9	3.7	2.6	0.5	0.0													9.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	0.9	2.2	3.3	2.1	0.5	0.0														9.1	11th
12th	0.2	0.7	1.4	2.1	1.9	1.0	0.2	0.1															7.5	12th

Total	0.2	0.7	1.6	3.1	4.5	6.6	7.9	8.5	10.1	10.6	10.1	9.2	7.3	6.5	4.8	3.8	2.3	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2
18-2	97.8%	0.7		0.6	0.1
17-3	84.9%	1.1		0.9	0.2	0.0
16-4	66.0%	1.5		1.0	0.5	0.0	0.0
15-5	41.9%	1.6		0.7	0.6	0.3	0.0
14-6	12.2%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	3.8%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	6.1%	6.1		3.6	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	77.3%	22.7%	6.0			0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0										100.0%
19-1	0.2%		78.6%	51.4%	27.3%	9.3				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		56.1%
18-2	0.7%		61.0%	40.6%	20.4%	10.7								0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.3		34.3%
17-3	1.3%		37.8%	28.7%	9.0%	11.5								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.8		12.7%
16-4	2.3%		26.9%	24.3%	2.5%	12.4											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.7		3.3%
15-5	3.8%		22.5%	21.7%	0.8%	13.0												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.1	0.0		3.0		1.1%
14-6	4.8%		13.3%	13.3%	0.0%	13.5												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1		4.1		0.0%
13-7	6.5%		11.9%	11.9%		13.9													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	5.7
12-8	7.3%		8.1%	8.1%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	6.7
11-9	9.2%		3.9%	3.9%		14.6														0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	8.9
10-10	10.1%		2.6%	2.6%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	9.8
9-11	10.6%		1.3%	1.3%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.4
8-12	10.1%		0.7%	0.7%		15.9																0.0	0.1	10.0
7-13	8.5%		0.2%	0.2%		15.9																0.0	0.0	8.5
6-14	7.9%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	7.8
5-15	6.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.6
4-16	4.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
3-17	3.1%																							3.1
2-18	1.6%																							1.6
1-19	0.7%																							0.7
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		5.6%	5.1%	0.4%	13.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.8	1.5	1.2	0.9	0.4	94.4		0.4%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	4.6				68.0		32.0
Lose Out	0.0%